Tomasz Tunguz: The Surprising Input-to-Output Ratio of AI Models

Source URL: https://www.tomtunguz.com/input-output-ratio/
Source: Tomasz Tunguz
Title: The Surprising Input-to-Output Ratio of AI Models

Feedly Summary: When you query an AI model, it gathers relevant information to generate an answer.
For a while, I’ve wondered : how much information does the model need to answer a question?

I thought the output would be larger, however conversations with practitioners revealed the opposite. Their intuition : the input was 20x larger than the output.
I’ve been experimenting with Gemini tool command line interface, which outputs detailed token statistics revealed something different. It’s much higher!
300x on average, but up to 4000x – not 20x.
Here’s why this high input-to-output ratio matters for anyone building with AI:

Cost Management is All About the Input. With API calls priced per token, a 300:1 ratio means costs are dictated by the context, not the answer. This pricing dynamic holds true across all major models.
On OpenAI’s pricing page, output tokens for GPT-4.1 are 4x as expensive as input tokens. But when the input is 300x more voluminous, the input costs are still 98% of the total bill. The most effective lever for managing spend isn’t shortening the model’s response; it’s optimizing the information you feed it.
Latency is a Function of Context Size. An important factor determining how long a user waits for an answer is the time it takes the model to process the input.
It Redefines the Engineering Challenge. This observation proves that the core challenge of building with LLMs isn’t just prompting. It’s context engineering.
The critical task is building efficient data retrieval & context – crafting pipelines that can find the best information and distilling it into the smallest possible token footprint.

Caching Becomes Mission-Critical. If 99% of tokens are in the input, building a robust caching layer for frequently retrieved documents or common query contexts moves from a “nice-to-have” to a core architectural requirement for building a cost-effective & scalable product.

This ratio signals a fundamental shift in the engineering challenge : from simple prompting to sophisticated context engineering. For developers, this means focusing on input optimization is a critical lever for controlling costs, reducing latency, and ultimately, building a successful AI-powered product.

AI Summary and Description: Yes

Summary: The text discusses the significant relationship between input and output in AI models, revealing that input can be as much as 300 to 4000 times larger than output. This insight is crucial for developers in managing costs and optimizing performance in AI applications.

Detailed Description:
The text provides an analysis of the input-output dynamics in AI model queries, particularly focusing on large language models (LLMs). Here are the major points highlighted:

– **Input-Output Ratio**:
– Initial assumptions suggested that the input size would only be about 20 times larger than the output size.
– Practical experimentation indicated a much higher average input-output ratio of 300:1, with potential peaks reaching up to 4000:1.

– **Implications for Cost Management**:
– The text emphasizes that costs associated with API calls are primarily driven by the input size, since the pricing model often charges per token.
– OpenAI’s pricing structure, where output tokens are pricier, reinforces the necessity to focus on reducing the input side to manage costs more effectively.

– **Latency Considerations**:
– A larger input size can increase latency, impacting user experience as more processing time is required for the model to analyze the extensive input.

– **Engineering Challenges**:
– The predominant challenge in building applications with LLMs is transitioning from basic prompting to sophisticated context engineering.
– This includes creating efficient data retrieval systems and context management that minimizes the token count from input while still being informative.

– **The Importance of Caching**:
– As a greater percentage of model interaction is dictated by input tokens, developing a robust caching system becomes essential.
– Caching frequently accessed documents or common query contexts enhances efficiency and sustainability in product development.

These insights suggest that developers and security professionals need to focus on optimizing information retrieval to build cost-effective AI solutions while addressing performance issues related to latency and user experience. The shift from simple prompting to advanced context engineering could reshape approaches in AI model development and deployment, emphasizing the significance of having efficient architectures in place.